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Which records will Hamilton break?
Poll ended at Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:54 pm
World Titles 10%  10%  [ 14 ]
Race Wins 16%  16%  [ 22 ]
Fastest Laps 4%  4%  [ 6 ]
Podiums 17%  17%  [ 24 ]
Laps Led 7%  7%  [ 10 ]
KMs Led 6%  6%  [ 9 ]
Hat Tricks 4%  4%  [ 5 ]
Wins/Podiums in Consecutive Years 10%  10%  [ 14 ]
Wins at an Individual Grand Prix/Circuit 11%  11%  [ 16 ]
Consecutive Podiums 4%  4%  [ 5 ]
Consecutive Wins 4%  4%  [ 6 ]
Consecutive Poles 4%  4%  [ 5 ]
Grand Slams 4%  4%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 141
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 30, 2018 9:57 pm 
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Mort Canard wrote:
Michael is on 91 wins. Lewis is on 71 as of Japan in 2018.

In the years with Mercedes Lewis has won:
2014 - 11 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2016 - 10 wins.
2017 - 9 wins.
2018 -9 wins with 2 races to go.

...even at the rate of 9 wins per season Lewis should reach and pass 91 early in 2021.

That's assuming Mercedes is still good for 9 wins per season. Nine wins is a lot of wins, and it's only been possibly because between 2014 and present Lewis has only faced one real race winning competitor at a time. If Ferrari continues to be as strong as they are now and Red Bull takes a step forward, there's very little chance Lewis will get 9 wins next year.

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PF1 TOP THREE TEAM CHAMPIONSHIP (No Limit Excedrin Racing): 2017: 2nd| 2015: 1st
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 30, 2018 10:36 pm 
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Exediron wrote:
Mort Canard wrote:
Michael is on 91 wins. Lewis is on 71 as of Japan in 2018.

In the years with Mercedes Lewis has won:
2014 - 11 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2016 - 10 wins.
2017 - 9 wins.
2018 -9 wins with 2 races to go.

...even at the rate of 9 wins per season Lewis should reach and pass 91 early in 2021.

That's assuming Mercedes is still good for 9 wins per season. Nine wins is a lot of wins, and it's only been possibly because between 2014 and present Lewis has only faced one real race winning competitor at a time. If Ferrari continues to be as strong as they are now and Red Bull takes a step forward, there's very little chance Lewis will get 9 wins next year.

Since (including) 1988, the mean number of wins by the highest race winner in the seasons has ben 46.12%. If Hamilton matches that average, he will win 19 races over the next 2 years.

The mean is actually more affected by some low performance years (1999,2010,2012) than the high performance years, as the median rate is slightly higher at 47.62% - if Hamilton matches or exceeds the median percentage, he'll win exactly 20 races, and match Schumacher.

If Hamilton has the most race wins of any driver in both of the next two seasons, he is statistically likely to get to at least 90 race wins.

Code:
Year   Races   Most Wins   By         Percentage
2018   18       9         Hamilton     50
2017   20       9         Hamilton     45
2016   21      10         Hamilton     47.61904762
2015   19      10         Hamilton     52.63157895
2014   19      10         Hamilton     52.63157895
2013   19      13         Vettel       68.42105263
2012   20       5         Vettel       25
2011   19      11         Vettel       57.89473684
2010   19       5         Vettel       26.31578947
2009   17       6         Button       35.29411765
2008   18       6         Massa        33.33333333
2007   17       6         Raikkonen    35.29411765
2006   18       7         Alonso       38.88888889
2005   19       7         Raikkonen    36.84210526
2004   18      13         Schumacher   72.22222222
2003   16       6         Schumacher   37.5
2002   17      11         Schumacher   64.70588235
2001   17       9         Schumacher   52.94117647
2000   17       9         Schumacher   52.94117647
1999   16       5         Hakkinen     31.25
1998   16       8         Hakkinen     50
1997   17       7         Villeneuve   41.17647059
1996   16       8         Hill         50
1995   17       9         Schumacher   52.94117647
1994   16       8         Schumacher   50
1993   16       7         Prost        43.75
1992   16       9         Mansell      56.25
1991   16       7         Senna        43.75
1990   16       6         Senna        37.5
1989   16       6         Senna        37.5
1988   16       8         Senna        50


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:25 am 
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Exediron wrote:
Mort Canard wrote:
Michael is on 91 wins. Lewis is on 71 as of Japan in 2018.

In the years with Mercedes Lewis has won:
2014 - 11 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2015 - 10 wins.
2016 - 10 wins.
2017 - 9 wins.
2018 -9 wins with 2 races to go.

...even at the rate of 9 wins per season Lewis should reach and pass 91 early in 2021.

That's assuming Mercedes is still good for 9 wins per season. Nine wins is a lot of wins, and it's only been possibly because between 2014 and present Lewis has only faced one real race winning competitor at a time. If Ferrari continues to be as strong as they are now and Red Bull takes a step forward, there's very little chance Lewis will get 9 wins next year.


As strong as Ferrari is now Hamilton still got his 9 wins this season with a chance for a possible two more. He may have more of a challenge next year but I don't see a reason for a precipitous decline in his annual total of wins in the next two years. There are possibilities out there but nothing that even looks likely to me.

If Mercedes gets the official OK for their tire cooling rear rims and can go back to using them, they will likely solve their current tire eating problems & we could very well be back to another string of Hamilton wins like Monza through Suzuka this year.

Ferrari have threatened to protest the rims if the cooling ducts are used and Merc evidently doesn't want to chance the loss of constructors points. The ventilation feature has reportedly been blocked the last two races even though the stewards of the meet declared the rims legal.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 2:05 pm 
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Posts: 1584
Mort Canard wrote:
Something tells me that Lewis will equal but not beat Schumacher's total of 7 drivers championships. If he wins in 2019 and 2020 that will put him at seven and tied with Michael. At that point his contract with Merc is up. He has talked (and there is much speculation about) going to Ferrari to finish his career. He could also retire or start a long downhill fade as the new regulations take effect and there is a possible re-ordering of formula 1 teams supremacy.

I do think he will beat Michael's total of 91 wins.


If Hamilton gets to 7 Championships he will probably do anything necessary to give himself the best chance of getting 8, so will want to have the best car - whatever team that is. Not only would he want to have the most World Championships (perhaps ever?), but he has a serious chip on his shoulder about Rosberg, so he would not want to think for the rest of his life that Rosberg stopped him winning 8 (or 7).


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:55 pm 
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babararacucudada wrote:
Mort Canard wrote:
Something tells me that Lewis will equal but not beat Schumacher's total of 7 drivers championships. If he wins in 2019 and 2020 that will put him at seven and tied with Michael. At that point his contract with Merc is up. He has talked (and there is much speculation about) going to Ferrari to finish his career. He could also retire or start a long downhill fade as the new regulations take effect and there is a possible re-ordering of formula 1 teams supremacy.

I do think he will beat Michael's total of 91 wins.


If Hamilton gets to 7 Championships he will probably do anything necessary to give himself the best chance of getting 8, so will want to have the best car - whatever team that is. Not only would he want to have the most World Championships (perhaps ever?), but he has a serious chip on his shoulder about Rosberg, so he would not want to think for the rest of his life that Rosberg stopped him winning 8 (or 7).

Thanks to Rosberg winning in 2016 he doesn't have 6 now. Or maybe thanks to Rosberg winning in 2016 he doesn't only have 4 now.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:42 am 
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Posts: 28442
Alienturnedhuman wrote:
babararacucudada wrote:
Mort Canard wrote:
Something tells me that Lewis will equal but not beat Schumacher's total of 7 drivers championships. If he wins in 2019 and 2020 that will put him at seven and tied with Michael. At that point his contract with Merc is up. He has talked (and there is much speculation about) going to Ferrari to finish his career. He could also retire or start a long downhill fade as the new regulations take effect and there is a possible re-ordering of formula 1 teams supremacy.

I do think he will beat Michael's total of 91 wins.


If Hamilton gets to 7 Championships he will probably do anything necessary to give himself the best chance of getting 8, so will want to have the best car - whatever team that is. Not only would he want to have the most World Championships (perhaps ever?), but he has a serious chip on his shoulder about Rosberg, so he would not want to think for the rest of his life that Rosberg stopped him winning 8 (or 7).

Thanks to Rosberg winning in 2016 he doesn't have 6 now. Or maybe thanks to Rosberg winning in 2016 he doesn't only have 4 now.

Yeah I've posted similar in another thread.

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PF1 Pick 10 Competition

2013: 5th Place
2014: Champion
2015: 3rd Place
2016: 4th Place

2017: 9th Place
2018: Currently 3rd

Wins: Canada 2018, Abu Dhabi 2017
Podiums: (6)


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PostPosted: Mon Nov 12, 2018 2:59 am 
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Location: Kansas
Cha-ching.
Ring up the totals again. 11-11-18
Lewis Hamilton
5 WDC Titles.
72 Wins.
228 Consecutive starts. (All time record)
41 Fastest Laps.
12 Consecutive seasosn with at least one win. (2nd all time behind MS)
82 Pole Positions. (All time record)
228 Podium Finishes. (2nd all time behind MS)
3,946 Laps lead. (2nd all time behind MS)
20,038 Km lead. (2nd all time behind MS)

That is all!!!

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